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Title

Climate change impacts and adaptation scope for agriculture indicated by agro-meteorological metrics

Publication Year

2013

Author(s)
  • Rivington, M.
  • Matthews, K. B.
  • Buchan, K.
  • Miller, D. G.
  • Bellocchi, G.
  • Russell, G.
Source
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS Volume: 114 Pages: 15-31 Published: 2013
ISSN
0308-521X
Abstract

Agro-meteorological metrics are indicators of weather determined environmental conditions on which agricultural management decisions are made. Metrics derived from an estimated future climate provide an opportunity to characterise the impacts of climate change on a wide range of agricultural systems, land use practices and ecosystem services. Such indications are vital for determining how changes in the biophysical environment can lead to land management and policy adaptations to achieve multiple objectives of financial viability, food security, biodiversity conservation and environmental sustainability. They provide valuable links between probable management adaptation responses and capacity for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions. However, there are large uncertainties associated with projected future climates, including the climate models' spatial scale of representation and those at which agro-meteorological metrics are applied. This paper describes the estimation of agro-meteorological metrics derived from observed weather and downscaled Regional Climate Model projection data for 12 sites in Scotland. Results show that projected changes to seasonal rainfall distribution, growing season length, soil moisture deficits and accessibility will be substantially different from the present climate. Fundamentally, the metrics indicate a substantial shift in land management requirements and potential need for substantial changes in agricultural systems and land use that will have implications across a wide range of research disciplines. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Author Keyword(s)
  • Agriculture
  • Agro-meteorology
  • Adaptation
  • Food Security
  • Climate change
  • Climate model
KeyWord(s) Plus
  • INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT
  • ENVIRONMENTAL-MODELS
  • SIMULATION-MODEL
  • SOLAR-RADIATION
  • SYSTEMS
  • TEMPERATURES
  • SCENARIOS
  • SCOTLAND
  • NITROGEN
  • UK
ESI Discipline(s)
  • Agricultural Sciences
Web of Science Category(ies)
  • Agriculture, Multidisciplinary
Adress(es)

[Rivington, M.; Matthews, K. B.; Buchan, K.; Miller, D. G.] James Hutton Inst, Aberdeen AB15 8QH, Scotland; [Bellocchi, G.] French Natl Inst Agr Res, Grassland Ecosyst Res Unit, F-63000 Clermont Ferrand, France; [Russell, G.] Univ Edinburgh, Sch Geosci, Edinburgh EH9 3JN, Midlothian, Scotland

Reprint Adress

Rivington, M (reprint author), James Hutton Inst, Aberdeen AB15 8QH, Scotland.

Country(ies)
  • France
  • United Kingdom
CNRS - Adress(es)
    Accession Number
    WOS:000312178100003
    uid:/Z13Q8XBS
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